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Retirement & You

I was attending a dinner party the other night when I overheard a conversation between two gentlemen in their mid thirties; "Joe, when do you think you'll be able to retire"?, to which his friend replied jokingly; " Well Fred at the rate I'm going I'll probably be working up to the day I die". 
I was tempted to go over and tell Joe that in all likelihood, he's probably right!!! 
The truth is that Canadians are getting older, (35% of the Canadian population was born between 1947 & 1967) and living longer, a lot longer. 
Currently very few of these people are even remotely close to being able to support themselves, for what may be a long retirement. Consider the following example: 
   Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Any town, Canada 
Facts: 
- Couple, both 34 years of age, One child, age 3 years old. 
- House is worth $150,000; mortgage balance $75,000. 
- Plan to retire at age 55. 
- Retirement hopefully will last 40 years. 
- As a couple, during retirement, they want to spend $50,000 per year, (in  today's dollars). This represents 55% of they're current combined  incomes. 
- Amount saved for retirement at this point $8,500, all in their RRSP. 
- Amount currently saving annually, $6000 per year or $500 per month. 
Assume: 
- Inflation averages 3% per year between now and the end of retirement, (61 years from now). 
- That CPP and Old Age Security, won't be available for the Smiths's. 
- The average annual return on your RRSP invested money, until the end of  retirement is 10%; on non-RRSP money is 14%. 
Results: 
- The amount of savings the Smith's will need to have accumulated in  they're RRSP, by the time they retire, in order to live out they're retirement as planned, is $1,846,126 . 
 The amount they'll actually have at they're current savings pace is  $413,684. A shortfall of $1,432,442. 
I'M NOT JOKING!!!! 
  
  
  
Let me walk you through a long term plan that I would prescribe for the Smith's: 
The Plan: 
- The Smith's put $ 250 per month into their RRSP; (this is half of the $500 that they're currently putting in). They take the other $250 and use it to make the monthly loan payment on a $50,000 investment loan, the proceeds of which are invested outside the RRSP in foreign equity mutual funds, (U.S., Europe, & Asia).  
- The $250 per month loan payment is all interest, therefore Mr. Smith can write off all $3000 on his tax return, since interest on an investment loan is tax deductible. This gives Mr. Smith a $3000 refund, (he's in the 50% marginal tax bracket; he gets $1500 from the interest & $1500 from the monthly RRSP). 
- Every year Mr. Smith can either wait until he gets the $3000 tax refund, and put it into next years RRSP, Or he can go down to his bank in February and take an RRSP loan for $6000, and put that into this years RRSP. 
- He'll then get a $6000 tax refund, ($1500 from the interest and $4500 from the RRSP), and he can use this refund to pay off the RRSP loan. 
- Assume the Smiths do this every year until retirement. 
Results: 
- At retirement the Smith's will have  $843,173 outside the RRSP, which they'll use for lump sum expenditures during retirement, ie. boats, trips, condos, etc.. 
and 
- Inside the RRSP the Smith's will have $669,672, which they will use as they're income during retirement. Total $1,512,845. 
I bet Joe & Fred would envy the Smith's 

 
 
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